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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 0:25:36 GMT -5
ATM it is 5 vs. 19 I believe
inevitably one of us is gonna fall. Probably Teucrian, Myself or Heffling. The other two will probably live on. I presume I'll get hit. Worst case scenario I die and one of the others.
Kias and Tck will probably get hit down the line for late wagon jumping. Or getting seered.
at best we would have to make sure the vigis don't hit us and stay alive for about 5 more days...which is a lot.
and that is without us taking any casualties
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Post by teucrian on Feb 13, 2011 0:27:56 GMT -5
Then let's start figuring where the seer would be hiding.
What's the profile we're looking for? Someone who's keeping their head low, probably. Someone who hasn't drawn many votes, and if they have it got shut down rather quickly. Could be there are two seers, an odd and an even day variety which would be quite good for us as long as the networks don't connect.
If we had a member to spare we could try a gambit where one of us contacted VS as the even day seer. (Only one expected result=easy to lie about) Maybe cause enough confusion to get the real one killed. But we're too shorthanded for that I think.
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Post by teucrian on Feb 13, 2011 0:38:03 GMT -5
With 19 players left, let's go seer searching. These players seem like unlikely candidates to me:
Sir Fab: Ringo has a thing for him. He doesn't appear to be paying a lot of attention to the game. Towndrunk: Did some independent research and thought for himself when he voted for Kellie and thinking is always sticking your neck out. Relatively new player, would likely not take that kind of risk as a seer The Anonymous: Really wanted to push that Lucedes vote the last couple days. Very difficult player to predict, but I don't see him doing that as a seer. Terrendos: Would have revealed when he thought he was dying day one. Almost certainly a vanillager.
I really wish I could eliminate more players. Hell the only person I'm really sold on certainly not being a seer is Terrendos.
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 0:40:50 GMT -5
ok do we think the seer was likely agreeing with roman on alt_raven that might be a start...
otherwise my gut would say Kay, WhiteZin and Stew as possibles
hmm that wouldn't make much sense, other than mafia and sterling. Only Planet is on it....
so either it's Planet or Roman wasn't seered. or the seer is doing random crap
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Post by teucrian on Feb 13, 2011 0:45:51 GMT -5
There's an idea. Assuming that Roman has been seered, the seer would likely boost his chosen wagon.
Whitezinfandel, as a new player would be the most likely to make that mistake. But would also be least likely to seer Roman. Kay and Roman I know have worked together before. Stew_Stick is somebody we were already suspicious of.
I'd lean towards getting Stew Stick tonight just to keep ourselves sane. If he turns out to be an important special we'll kick ourselves endlessly about the missed order yesterday.
EDIT: Missed what you were saying there. Captain planet isn't a bad target though.
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 0:47:46 GMT -5
Zin isn't new. He has just been away for a while, if that changes things.
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Post by teucrian on Feb 13, 2011 0:48:18 GMT -5
Really, I don't remember ever playing with him. My mistake.
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Post by teucrian on Feb 13, 2011 0:53:01 GMT -5
Ah well, I'm headed to bed. Maybe I'll come up with an actually reasonably decent idea tomorrow. It's depressing that we're behind in this game when we haven't lost anybody legitimately yet. If we had two kills we would be crushing this game, even with the inactive members. C'est la vie.
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 0:53:33 GMT -5
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 4:58:43 GMT -5
If it is anonymous...It would be possible the seer group is behind the constant Lucedes wagons.
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 5:02:48 GMT -5
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 14:37:55 GMT -5
I take it we want me on the towndrunk wagon... (since that kinda puts me and heffling more at odds).
Or do we want Teucrian on it. And me on Terrendos to cause confusion?
edit:The others on towndrunk (to seem like they are protecting Terrendos?)
what about the others?
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Post by teucrian on Feb 13, 2011 15:00:50 GMT -5
I'll wait for a while before I jump on anything but will probably end up on Terrendos. I think Towndrunk is safest for you Egos. Those really are the two best villager votes.
VS's Duna wagon may be a trap. See how many people will vote for an easy target whose record shows him as likely village just because the network head says so. Actually, that's the precise kind of trap that Duna himself likes to set up.
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 15:53:47 GMT -5
for whatever reason Extermattot and CaptainPlanet82 are pinging my radar mascara305 also perhaps... Though this put a bias on it. I put the default on Anonymous, but feel free to change it. Send in a PM to CC. Since he doesn't seem to accept orders in the order thread(the fact that VS claims he hasn't heard from any specials (which could be a lie) kinda helped with putting it on him temporarily). But we could go with CaptainPlanet82 (mascara as well..perhaps) as well. Since he hasn't posted in the thread.
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Post by Egos on Feb 13, 2011 18:35:04 GMT -5
Though it could be personal tastes.
If the seer hasn't contacted Void. I would think either mascara305 or captainplanet 82 (if we are going on activity)
daniant is an option also. Fits in with the laying low.
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