Day 8 - This party sucked anyway.

[heffling]

So, there are 12 players left. Assuming a very conservative network of 5 players, 5 random village who will vote with VS, and 2 of us left, I think we're done.

So, let's assume 2 random villagers (By Village Vig and by Our Vote) until they are all down:

Day 8: 4 Network, 3 Village, 2 Mafia
Day 9: 3 Network, 1 Village, 2 Mafia
Day 10: 2 Network, 0 Village, 1 Mafia
Day 11: 1 Network

If we assume we hit their even day vig, it could potentially be:

Day 10: 2 Network, 0 Village, 2 Mafia
Day 11: 1 Mafia (assuming ties kill both)

We can keep playing this out, but I think it's extremely unlikely we can win. I honestly think the Network has 7 or 8 players ATM.

Do you want to concede?

[teucrian]

No point in concession. We won't win, but playing out the string is our role. If CC wants to call the game, that's his role.

I can't believe how bad we've been at hitting good specials.

[heffling]

Ok. Order placed on Mascara.

It may be that the village is much lighter on specials than we have assumed. Really, until last night, they had been very bad at hitting Mafia as well.